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NEWS AND VIEWS THAT IMPACT LIMITED CONSTITUTIONAL GOVERNMENT

"There is danger from all men. The only maxim of a free government ought to be to trust no man living with
power to endanger the public liberty." - - - - John Adams

Tuesday, May 6, 2014

A Tidal Wave Election Year!



No hyperbole, No exaggeration! 
Its a Tidal Wave election year!!!


Tisei for Congress, MA

From Eric Dondero: 
Libertarian Republican.net

The chart that goes with the piece over at USA Today is even more mind-blowing. Never, ever before has the GOP been ahead on the generic ballot at this point in an election season.

Not in 2010 was tied, and not in 1994, when the GOP was behind by 2 points, yet gained an unprecedented 64 seats in the House in the Gingrich - Contract with America Republican wave. 

From USAToday, ''Poll: For the midterms, a tilt to the GOP'':

Democrats hoping improvements in the economy's course and the Affordable Care Act's implementation would level the playing field for November's elections should brace themselves.  
A nationwide USA TODAY/Pew Research Center Poll shows the strongest tilt to Republican candidates at this point in a midterm year in at least two decades, including before partisan "waves" in 1994 and 2010 that swept the GOP into power. 
Though Election Day is six months away — a lifetime in politics — at the moment, Democrats are saddled by angst over the economy, skepticism about the health care law and tepid approval of the president. "People should start opening their eyes and seeing we're not on track," says Brenna Collins, 32, a small-business owner from Kasson, Minn., who was among those surveyed. 
"Not exactly saying Republicans are right but that things need to change." By more than 2-1, 65%-30%, Americans say they want the president elected in 2016 to pursue different policies and programs than the Obama administration, rather than similar ones.


Republicans over Dems 47% to 43% 

Continuing:

In the 2014 elections, registered voters are inclined to support the Republican candidate over the Democrat in their congressional district by 47%-43%. 
That 4-percentage-point edge may seem small, but it's notable because Democrats traditionally fare better among registered voters than they do among those who actually cast ballots, especially in low-turnout midterms. "It's huge," says former Virginia congressman Tom Davis, who twice chaired the Republican congressional campaign committee. He says its potential impact is tempered only because House Republicans already hold a 233-seat majority, including most swing seats. 
Even so, the friendly landscape, if it holds, could help the GOP bolster its majority in the House and gain the six seats needed to claim control of the Senate. 
Their lead in the generic congressional ballot is the biggest at this point for Republicans in the past 20 years. In 1994, when the GOP would gain control of the House and Senate, Democrats held a 2-point advantage in the spring of the election year. In 2010, when Republicans would win back the House, the two sides were even. The poll of 1,501 adults, including 1,162 registered voters, was taken April 23-27. It has a margin of error of +/-3 percentage points. (Emphasis added.)
What this means essentially, ¨lean Republican¨ seats are now suddenly ¨solid Republican," and seats that may have been rated ¨tilt Republican," can now be views as ¨lean GOP¨. 

It also means seats that may have been marginal chance of a GOP pick-up, say Richard Tisei (top photo) up in Massachusetts, Elyse Stefanik in upstate New York, Carl DeMaio in California, Vivaldi or Bonilla knocking off horrible Dem incumbent Alan Grayson in central Fla., Scott Brown for US Senate in New Hampshire, the Oregon senate race, are now definitely in the running for the GOP. 

Finally, seats that may have been no chance whatsoever for the GOP, say Rose Izzo (photo) knocking off incumbent Dem Rep. Carney in Delaware, or a GOP pick-up of Maxine Brown's rep. seat in south central L.A., picking up Al Franken's seat in Minn. suddenly don't seem so far-fetched.




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