A Two Man Race?
- Anything can and will happen, but I suspect we are moving to a two man race. Campaign cash for the other candidates should start to dry up soon.
(CBS News) - The Republican nomination fight continues to be dominated by political newcomers Donald Trump and Ben Carson. In Iowa, Carson has moved up to tie Trump.
In South Carolina and New Hampshire, there is Donald Trump with a large lead, and then there is everyone else.
Trump's support in New Hampshire is about the same as it was a month ago. In South Carolina, Trump has a large lead as well.
The study shows a bit of the populism driving GOP politics now, too: Republican voters in all three states are likely to say the party isn't paying enough attention to the middle class. Voters are more likely to say the party is paying too much attention to its large donors and to the wealthy.
Donald Trump's backers are strongly likely to voice this complaint. At least six in ten in New Hampshire and Iowa want the party to pay more attention to the middle class. Most of Trump's voters - and most of Carson's - in South Carolina think the party is paying too much attention to donors.