"There is danger from all men. The only maxim of a free government ought to be to trust no man living with
power to endanger the public liberty." - - - - John Adams

Friday, October 16, 2015

A Trump Landslide in New Hampshire

It's Trump vs Midgets
All of those politicians with "experience" look 
so small next to The Donald.

(Gravis Marketing)  -  Businessman Donald J. Trump continues to dominate the New Hampshire’s GOP field four months before its first-in-the-nation primary, according to an Oct. 5-6, 2015 Gravis Insights poll of 662 Republican voters. Democratic questions had a sample size of 373.

“The New Hampshire numbers are interesting, when you consider Trump’s performance in other states,” said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Insights, the Florida-based polling company that conducted the poll using predictive dialer software. The poll carries a 4 percent margin of error for Republican questions and a 5 percent margin of error for Democratic questions.

Kaplan said, “In Iowa and nationally, Trump is leveling off or weakening, but in New Hampshire his support is solidly more than 30 percent and it has been for a long time.”
  • 32% Donald Trump
  • 13% Ben Carson
  • 10% John Kasich
  • 8%   Marco Rubio
  • 8%   Carly Fiorina
  • 7%   Jeb Bush

“There is a cluster at fourth, fifth and sixth.” Bush and Rubio are interesting, too, he said.

“Rubio has not had a bad news cycle for six months, but he is not passing Carson or coming close to Trump,” Kaplan said. “Bush has been attacked for six months, and he is still hanging in there. We believe with his money and organization, he is in the race for delegates and the long haul.”

Cruz at 5 percent is also positioned for the long haul, he said. “Cruz’s support has an intensity similar to Ron Paul’s and his ground game is fantastic,” he said.

In the Democratic field, the story continues to be former first lady Hillary R. Clinton v. Vermont Sen. Bernard Sanders v. the phantom candidacy of Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., Kaplan said.

“Without Al Gore in the race, Sanders beats Clinton 33 percent to 30 percent, but with Gore in Clinton beats Sanders, 38 percent to 35 percent,” he said.  “Biden pulls anywhere from 10 to 12 percent in different combinations,” he said. “There is no manic-groundswell for Biden in New Hampshire, but he is in the hunt.”

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