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NEWS AND VIEWS THAT IMPACT LIMITED CONSTITUTIONAL GOVERNMENT

"There is danger from all men. The only maxim of a free government ought to be to trust no man living with
power to endanger the public liberty." - - - - John Adams

Sunday, November 2, 2014

Republican Allan Fung within 1% in Rhode Island Guv's race



GOP Gains in New England

  • Republicans now have a genuine shot to control 4 out of 6 New England governor's seats after Tuesday: Charlie Baker up by 2 to 7 in numerous polls in Massachusetts; Paul LePage with a small but consistent lead of 1 to 3 in Maine; and Tom Foley either slightly behind or up as much as 5 in Connecticut. A 5th race - Walt Havenstein in New Hampshire has closed as well to within 4 points. Though, there have been no polls to date to show Havenstein with a lead. 
  • Republican Allan Fung served as the Mayor of Cranston, Rhode Island since 2009. Fung became the first mayor of Chinese ancestry in Rhode Island. 


PROVIDENCE, R.I. (WPRI.com) – One of Washington’s top election prognosticators is upgrading Republican Allan Fung’s chances of winning the race for Rhode Island governor.

The Cook Political Report, an influential D.C. forecasting firm, on Friday changed its rating on the Rhode Island gubernatorial race from “Lean Democratic” to “Toss Up.” Cook had already changed its rating in Fung’s favor back on Oct. 17, when it switched the rating on the race from “Likely Democratic” to the less-certain “Lean Democratic.”

“This is not a typical Democrat versus Republican contest,” Jennifer Duffy, a Cook senior editor who happens to be a Rhode Island native, wrote Friday in explaining the rating change.


“As a result of her work on pension reform, some union members simply won’t support state Treasurer Gina Raimondo, the Democratic nominee,” Duffy wrote. “She does, however, get some support from moderate Republicans and independents. GOP nominee Allan Fung, who is mayor of Cranston, picks up a little of that union support (as well as Democrats in Cranston), but so does Moderate Party nominee Robert Healey.”

“Polling shows Raimondo with a small but consistent advantage over Fung, while Healey appears to be over-performing,” Duffy added. “We still give Raimondo the edge here, but the polling has been close enough to warrant a move to the Toss Up column.”

While Raimondo has held the lead in all public polls released since the primary, her margins have almost always been low, shrinking to the smallest yet in a Brown University poll released earlier this week that called the race “effectively tied.” Raimondo, Fung and Moderate Bob Healey met for their final televised debate on Thursday night.

Raimondo is seeking to become the first Democrat elected Rhode Island governor since Bruce Sundlun won a second term in 1992; outgoing incumbent Lincoln Chafee won in 2010 as an independent but became a Democrat last year. A Fung win would be the eighth Republican gubernatorial victory in Rhode Island since 1984; the most recent GOP governor, Don Carcieri, won with 54% of the vote in 2002 and 51% in 2006.

Both candidates have been bringing in big names to boost their campaigns in the final stretch. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, chairman of the Republican Governors Association, visited the state for a second time this week on Fung’s behalf and is returning Monday. The first lady, Michelle Obama, came Thursday for Raimondo, and President Obama made a brief visit to a Gregg’s with her while in Providence on Friday.

The Democratic Governors Association had spent $755,000 in Rhode Island on Raimondo’s behalf through Thursday, while Christie’s RGA had spent $125,000 on Fung’s behalf through Oct. 20, according to the two organizations’ R.I. Board of Elections disclosures. Raimondo and the Rhode Island Democratic Party hold a small financial advantage combined over Fung and the Republican Party.

Although the RGA has spent significantly less than its Democratic counterpart in Rhode Island so far, executive director Phil Cox expressed enthusiasm about the chances of Fung and other GOP candidates for governor across the region. “There’s a lot happening in New England,” Cox told the AP. “We’re on offense in five out of six states.”

Thanks to Libertarian Republican.





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