"There is danger from all men. The only maxim of a free government ought to be to trust no man living with
power to endanger the public liberty." - - - - John Adams

Sunday, April 20, 2014

Democrat Super PAC Targets 24 House Districts

Freshman Socialist Democrat Congressman Ami Bera (7th District Calif.)
is high on the target list of the GOP.

24 Districts Get Fall TV Reservations

House Majority PAC, a super PAC with the aim of electing House Democrats, announced its first round of television reservations for the fall.

The reservations, totaling about $6.5 million, are for “the final weeks of the election in 24 districts,” a news release stated.

The super PAC during the 2012 cycle made its first round of reservations in early July in partnership with the Service Employees International Union.

“By placing these reservations early, we will make our dollars go further and ensure we have the air time to effectively fight back against the flood of Koch brothers’ dollars,” House Majority PAC Executive Director Alixandria Lapp said in a statement reports Roll Call.

The super PAC is on offensive in six Republican-held districts and on defense in 18 Democratic districts. Often, releasing ad reservations to the press is a means to telegraph to allies, like the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, how outside groups intend to spend money.

Democrats are running scared in Arizona

Arizona’s 1st congressional district election, 2012
DemocraticAnn Kirkpatrick122,77448.79%+0.91%
RepublicanJonathan Paton113,59445.14%-4.56%
LibertarianKim Allen15,2276.05%-0.45%
Democratic holdSwing


Below is a breakdown of the buys, categorized by offensive and defensive targets:

Democrat Incumbent Protection

Arizona’s 1st District (Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick): $420,785
Arizona’s 2nd District (Rep. Ron Barber): $138,693
Arizona’s 9th District (Rep. Kyrsten Sinema): $420,785
California’s 7th District (Rep. Ami Bera): $189,610
California’s 36th District (Rep. Raul Ruiz): $112,219
California’s 52nd District (Rep. Scott Peters): $512,190
Florida’s 18th District (Rep. Patrick Murphy): $561,423
Florida’s 26th District (Rep. Joe Garcia) : $175,894
Illinois’ 10th District (Rep. Brad Schneider): $229,354
Illinois’ 17th District (Rep. Cheri Bustos): $128,898
Massachusetts’ 6th District (Rep. John Tierney): $124,020
Minnesota’s 8th District (Rep. Rick Nolan): $354,265
New Hampshire’s 1st District (Rep. Carol Shea-Porter): $162,253
New Hampshire’s 2nd District (Rep. Ann McLane Kuster): $162,253
New York’s 1st District (Rep. Timothy H. Bishop): $394,706
New York’s 18th District, (Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney): $565,900
New York’s 24th District (Rep. Dan Maffei): $166,254
Texas’ 23rd (Rep. Pete Gallego): $221,347

Targeted Republicans

Colorado’s 6th District (Rep. Mike Coffman): $425,330
Florida’s 2nd District (Rep. Steve Southerland II): $232,120
Iowa’s 3rd District (open-seat race to replace retiring Rep. Tom Latham): $125,127
Illinois’ 13th District (Rep. Rodney Davis): $143,878
Minnesota’s 2nd District (Rep. John Kline): $329,371
New York’s 11th District (Rep. Michael G. Grimm): $162,759

Check out Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call’s ratings of these campaigns.

2012 General election - 7th District, California
DemocraticAmi Bera141,24151.7%
RepublicanDan Lungren (incumbent)132,05048.3%
Democratic gain from Republican

California's 7th Congressional District
In the 2012 Obama landslide election the Democrat House candidate won
a narrow 51.7% victory over a Republican incumbent.
Voter registration is 39% Democrat to 37% GOP.

Districts like the 7th are key to the GOP maintaining and expanding their majority.

No comments: