"There is danger from all men. The only maxim of a free government ought to be to trust no man living with
power to endanger the public liberty." - - - - John Adams

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

1914 Cometh - Will there be War with China?

Shades of 1914
  • China pushes their "territory" deep into the open ocean and the US sends B-52 to fly next to China.
  • The more things change the more they stay the same.  Proud nations strut their power in an attempt to intimidate others and make them back down so they can claim territory.
  • I am sure the fact there are oil and gas reserves in the East China Sea has nothing to do with the actions by Japan, China and the US.

Yep, it is "The Territorial Imperative" all over again.  Man is little more than an animal, lifting his leg and spraying, seeking to control his feeding grounds.

Now we are seeing some militaristic Jingoist responses from people in China to the US B-52 incursion.  We all know too well that Jingoism and brinkmanship can take you down roads we do not want.

Chinese citizens vented angrily on the country’s Twitter-like Sina Weibo microblogging platform as news broke of U.S. B-52 bombers flying over disputed East China Sea islands claimed by China. But they reserved some of their harshest contempt for their military’s apparent inability to respond.

Wilhelm II
German Emperor; King of Prussia
Wild talk about borders. national "pride" &
brinkmanship on all sides started World
War I resulting in over 37 million casualties.
“China just announced its air defense identification zone and the B-52s from US just drove straight into it, ignoring China’s statement,” Bei Cun, a novelist and screenplay writer, wrote on his verified Sina blog. “This is pretty embarrassing for China. But guess what China will do? My guess would be… ‘to solemnly protest and try to negotiate.’”

The U.S. sent the two bombers over the islands, called the Senkakus by Japan and Diaoyu Islands by China, across Beijing’s newly declared air defense identification zone Tuesday morning. Defying rules unilaterally set by China, the U.S. mission didn’t inform Beijing about the flight, U.S. officials said in the Wall Street Journal.

A U.S. official said there was no attempt by the Chinese military to contact the B-52s. A Chinese Defense Ministry spokesman said China has the capacity to protect its own territory, state television reported Wednesday.

On China’s microblogs, which have become a forum for expressing opinions in an otherwise tightly controlled public space, there was anger aplenty. “We should dispatch a plane to their air defense zone to do a round!” a blogger called Ant 9634 wrote.

But any outrage over the U.S. move was underlined by a sense of disgruntlement over Beijing’s haplessness.

“The problem is that we are blind on defense of the ground and air,” a blogger named Qiu Wenyan wrote. “We pay so much taxes to nurture (the military), we can’t let them stay at home all day.”

Propaganda from all sides painted
the "enemy" as not human.
“This sort of outrageous act supports Japan and allows the U.S. to save its own face,” Fan Jianchuan, a Sichuan Province member of a national advisory body to China’s legislature, wrote on his verified blog. “The People’s Liberation Army can’t seem to strongly react. How do we manage this? This really needs wisdom and courage.” Perhaps tellingly, Mr. Fan used a Chinese word for “courage” that included the character for “blood.”

Others deployed a range of Chinese proverbs to goad the government toward a tougher reaction. “When two people confront each other on a narrow road, the braver one wins,” a blogger calling himself Wild Puppet wrote.

Some of the reaction on Weibo also called out the Chinese military, suggesting that Beijing sparked the latest flashpoint on a decades-old bilateral dispute.

“The immediate reaction (from U.S.) with both words and action shows the adventurism in China’s decision over the air defense zone, and the passive and embarrassing consequence resulting from that,” Pan Jiazhu, a well-known columnist on military issues who goes by Zhao Chu on his verified Weibo account, wrote.

“Military hardliners created this situation and made a no-fly zone, thinking they can play with little Japan, which has brought out U.S. bombers and slapped hardliners in the face,” art and culture critic Wu Zuolai wrote. “Where’s the hardliners’ spokesman? How do we end this?”

As of Wednesday morning, the government – which regularly censors politically sensitive issues on microblogging platforms – doesn’t appear yet to have yanked any of the commentary or foreign coverage of it.

Presumed flight path of US B-52s, Nov. 26, 2013

China's "air-defence identification zone"
Responding to questions about the zone on an official state website, a defence ministry spokesman, Yang Yujun, said China set up the area "with the aim of safeguarding state sovereignty, territorial land and air security, and maintaining flight order".
See China's "air-defense identification zone" goes deep into the ocean

Sending B-52s off China
Is it smart policy to project US military power close to China's shores
or brinkmanship that could start a war?  Pick one or could it be both?

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