"There is danger from all men. The only maxim of a free government ought to be to trust no man living with
power to endanger the public liberty." - - - - John Adams

Thursday, September 20, 2018

Asian-American Republican ahead of Hispanic Democrat Congressman

Conservative Asian Immigrant Ahead of Incumbent Hispanic Democrat

  • Kim is supported by 46% and Cisneros is supported by 42% of all potential voters – that is voters who have participated in an election since 2010 or have newly registered to vote (a group that represents about 85% of all registered voters in the district). Another 12% are undecided.  
  • The Republican’s edge grows, though, when applying two different likely voter models. A historical midterm model gives Kim a 51% to 41% lead over Cisneros. But even a model that projects a possible turnout surge in Democratic precincts still gives Kim a lead of 49% to 43%. 

(Fox News)  -  A new poll shows a Republican candidate in a highly contested swing district in California is leading by 10 points over her Democratic opponent -- who was endorsed by former President Barack Obama but whose candidacy was plagued by accusations of sexual misconduct.
Young Kim, a former representative in the California State Assembly, is leading Democrat Gil Cisneros among likely voters in California’s 39th Congressional District, according to a Monmouth University poll released Tuesday.
The support among the candidates is divided mostly along racial lines, with most Hispanic voters supporting Cisneros, who made his riches in lottery winnings, while Asian voters and non-Hispanic white voters are supporting Kim.
Both Kim and Cisneros aren’t well recognized by the voters, but the Republican enjoys a positive 32-11 favorability rating, while Cisneros is viewed unfavorably by 24 percent of surveyed voters and only 23 percent have a favorable view of him.
The district has been leaning toward the Republicans for years, electing Rep. Ed Royce by 14 points, though Hillary Clinton won the district by eight points in 2016.
The Democrats have targeted the seat in their “red to blue” program, providing organizational and financial support in a bid to flip the seat in the upcoming midterm elections.
The Cisneros campaign benefited from Obama’s rare campaign visit in California – even though the former president didn’t initially endorse Cisneros – where he stumped for him and other Democratic candidates who are running in Republican districts.
But despite the support, the Democrat is struggling to make strides in the polls, with some pointing to the accusations of sexual misconduct that were weaponized by Republicans.
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